Segment

Time

1. Collect journals

1. Derivation of formula for error rate (see handout).
2. Graph of function (density plot). Emphasize two things:
1. I am not showing them what I expect them to do. I am using the computer as an electronic blackboard.
2. The computer is calculating the value of z; suggest they imagine a point "z far out" from the cursor (i.e., sketch a surface)
3. Graph of function (3-d)
1. Relate to part (b).
4. Solve equation (MathView; first a table, then a solution. See printout)

1. Simulate the scenario:
1. Put students in pairs. One is Michael, the other is Warden.
2. Give each pair of students 3 pieces of paper, labeled "Michael", "John", and "Quincy". Have them simulate the scenario – assuming Warden picks prisoner BEFORE Michael asks.
3. Have them simulate the scenario – assuming Warden picks prisoner AFTER Michael asks.
2. Analyze it using tree diagrams (emphasize importance of BEING CLEAR ON THE PROCESS AND REFLECTING IT IN YOUR DIAGRAM)